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Tuesday, September 6, 2005
 
Katrina Ballerina

Not to seem harsh or negative minded but: any narrative of the whole event has to admit of a comprehensive failure. The first failure would be to adopt a mind set that would seek to deny failure in order to avoid blame White House Backpedals on Flood Control, or to only look for problems once Katrina swirled into the Gulf of Mexico and headed north. It was a failure to follow through from problem identification and planning The Man-Made Disaster - New York Times. Reports and warnings were written and issued at all conceivable levels: University studies, Corp of Engineers studies, City Government Studies, environmental studies, journals Scientific American: Drowning New Orleans and the popular press THE SUNKEN CITY The New Yorker, newspapers Feds' Disaster Planning Shifts Away From Preparedness, FEMA knew storm's potential, Mayfield says, and television.

In the face of some of what is now being said, this was not a "100 year event", a monster storm. Just a cat. 4 hurricane, that was reduced to a cat. 3 shortly after crossing the gulf coast on the center of the gulf's northern perimeter. It was down to a tropical storm by the time it was 160 miles inland. There are formal parameters, I imagine, on which such prediction is based, but it seems to me it might be wiser to see this as a 50 or even 25 year event. Even less as New Orleans situation becomes ever more precarious. This may not seem like much, but it makes a tremendous difference to the final figure in a risk/cost-benefit analysis.

All this represents a failure of society's, of our government's, task of identifying problems and organizing resources towards solution. It is an indication that some of the nations fundamental priorities have gone astray. Large scale community wide projects, particular for the public safety, such as defending major urban areas inhabitants against disaster - this is why governments exist. I've read some articles that suggested, that the inundation of New Orleans was too much, on too large a scale to be seriously contemplated. Too expensive too entrenched a problem to guard against, evacuating too complex to organize. The costs of recovering too immense to be imagined. I've read that there is super-fund site (a special federal category of toxic waste site) in downtown New Orleans. It's been soaking in water for a week. Information like this lends credence to the idea that the disaster that happened, while not unforeseen, had an ability to defeat practical consideration.

There was a failure to react in the face of immanent catastrophe. A hesitation, an unpreparedness, a blase attitude when decisions had to be made on natures timetable, not mans. The speed at which water flows, a hurricane move; hours not days. Here was crisis, a threat to human well-being, human life. The human ingenuity of extreme moments, which can produce extraordinary efforts to create order in the face of yawning chaos, was not seen for days. Arnold Toynbee had an idea in his mid century work "a Study of History" that moderate adversity will prompt a culture to new heights while extreme adversity will paralyze or break it. With no solid institutional back-bone no leadership AlterNet: What's Bush Got To Do With It?, it was difficult for a response to coalesce The Gulf Between Rhetoric and Reality. The institutional backbone should have been government Newsview: Politicians Failed Storm Victims - AP. At the local level it was seen there is a difference between ordering an evacuation and having one happen. Aside from transportation problems (studies had identified what portion of New Orleans residents did not have access to automobiles). No one seems to have asked about the alcoholics, drug addicts, criminals or the merely ornery, anti-social and non-cooperative who would not leave. Training exercises which are where the various levels of first responders (for whom it is practice not theory) learn their roles, learn who they interact with, and identify coordination problems. These across the nation have tended to be focused on terrorism scenarios. Apparently in 2000 and 2004 such exercises that dealt with storms were held but did not include levees failing in their scripts. The extremity of the situation overwhelmed local police fire and rescue departments.

At the Federal level as many have commented on bureaucratic reorganization seems to have hamstrung FEMA by folding it into the Dept. of Homeland Security Department of Homeland Screw-Up - What is the Bush administration doing? By Tim Naftali and saddling it with the burden of being a patronage outpost Destroying FEMA. Many critical projects were said to be starved of funding to feed the war in Iraq. This is unlikely to be disproved by facts. On NPRs Weekend Edition a person being interviewed complained that on FEMA's first list of authorized emergency organizations new and untested "faith-based" humanitarian subcontractors seemed to have displaced many regular and experienced ones (she did say it was quickly expanded, thereafter). As well two thirds of the national guard not just in Louisiana, but in Texas Mississippi, and Alabama are out of country. these national guard troops traditionally a Governors main line of defense in restoring order also represent significant portions of police and fire departments in many municipalities affected.

What worked: the success of the National Guards and the U S military when they arrived on the scene in sufficient numbers. These are remarkably efficient and robust instituions. This underscores the need that existed for a national response. Our federal system jumps from national to states, then to county and municipal. Only about half the states are large enough to qualify as regional entities with multiple major municipal areas. Katrina's hurricaine force winds spanned over 200 miles wide and spread across the coastlines of three states. The Multi state assistance compact was created specifically to deal with such phenomenon, Though in the moment of emergency it being a cooperative program, there was confusion and hesitation in invoking it.

There was a particular failure of technology in the collapse of the telecommunication grid, which was surprising fragile Communications Networks Fail Disaster Area Residents. Microwave telephony was more robust, power for cell phones was its weak link. Consumer internet dependant on electrical power as well as phone or DSL lines was not a factor in the affected areas which seemed starved for information throughout the week, though it did play a role in disseminating infornmation to and from the periphery (first rule of hurricanes, buy batteries).

The disaster also revealed to the whole world America's failure to deal with poverty and racism BBC NEWS | World | Americas | New Orleans crisis shames Americans. A great deal has been said about the implicit deap and embedded racism, not only in how the response has organized itself in fits and starts, but more in the the weight of the impact falling among the social classes Anger rises among Mississippi's poor after Katrina and color line Katrina's Unequal Toll. One of the least but most telling incidents were the book-end comments by the President in Mississippi talking in light upbeat tones about he will sit on the porch of good ol' boy Trent Lotts house - when it gets rebuilt. And Dennis Hastert (R-IL), Speaker of the house, questioning why anyone would think that New Orleans was going to be rebuilt Denny Hastert's Dark Calculus.

In the middle of last week John Edwards wrote a post on Josh Marshall's still somewhat new community site Talking Points Memo Cafe (TPM Cafe). It was a reprise of his main campaign theme Two Americas- John Edwards - TPM Cafe. In the comments to the post someone noted that salient feature of wealth in this society is the extent to which at both extremes it is largely hidden - invisible. To which I would add distant. Beyond the reach of the middle class of bureaucratic mangers, and law enactors to change easily. There are those who welcome this who welcome the burden lifted by invisibility of poverty, the clock of vast wealth, and the ease with which both can be forgotten.

There is a failure that can be seen in our fundamental approach to nature. To always attempt to subdue or defeat nature to treat it as the an-ethical to our progress. Entropy is the dissapation of order and energy. It is the philosophical point against which mankinds energy is directed. Nature is seen as, at best, the rival of mankind against entropy, and at worst the face of chaos itself. Nature has never been regarded by the American charactor as an ally, but as a challenge, an affront.

There is hope through the failure. The media lately the laughable shadow of a free press, seems to have rediscovered its mandate and purpose The Rebellion of the Talking Heads. The political culture will not be able soon to pretend it does not know the extent of the United States enduring problems OUR OPINIONS An open letter to the President. A key difference between this and 11 Sep.t 2001. Is the lack of a role for manichaean good and evil, and subsequant political use in removing the problem from the constructive realm of human affairs. It will lead to a deeper more honest understanding of ourselves. We may rediscover the Organizing priniciple of a true community. One of the last things I read on this before starting to write this was David Brooks second column on this (first was The Storm After the Storm) NYT column on Sunday The Bursting Point - New York Times: "The first rule of the social fabric - that in times of crisis you protect the vulnerable - was trampled[.]" I agree David, but why wait til there is a crisis?


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2005 Paul Bushmiller.
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