AMSC 699 Assignments, Spring 2002

Each student will be assigned to give a one hour talk on one of the articles listed below.
At most one student will be assigned to each article. The list is still incomplete.

Assigned Papers

• E.N. Lorenz;
  A study of the predictability of a 28-variable model,
  Tellus 17 (1965), 321-333.
  Assigned to Joe Skufca for February 20 (Kalnay).

• R. Camassa, D.D. Holm and C.D. Levermore;
  Long-Time Effects of Bottom Topography in Shallow Water,
  Physica D 98 (1996), 258-286.
  Assigned to Cory Hauck for March 13 (Levermore).

• C.D. Levermore and M. Sammartino;
  A Shallow Water Model with Eddy Viscosity for Basins with Varying Bottom Topography,
  Nonlinearity (to appear 2002).
  Assigned to Ning Jiang for March 20 (Levermore).

• H.F. Creveling, J.F. de Paz, J.Y. Baladi, and R.J. Schoenhals;
  Stability Characteristics of a Single-Phase Free Convection Loop,
  J. Fluid Mech. 67 (1975), 65-84.
  Assigned to Chris Danforth for April 3.

• C. Shuman and C. Stearns;
  Decadal-Length Composite Inland West Antarctic Temperature Records,
  J. Climate 14 (2001),1977-1988.
  Assigned to Bernard Dillard for April 10 (Patil).

• A. Trevisan and F. Pancotti;
  Periodic orbits, Lyapunov vectors, and singular vectors in the Lorenz system,
  J. Atmos. Sci. 55 (1998), 390-398.
  Assigned to Joe McMahon for April 17 (Szunyogh).

• C. Pires, R. Vautard, and 0. Talagrand;
  On extending the limits of variational assimilation in chaotic systems,
  Tellus 48A (1996), 96-121.
  Assigned to Tomo Iida for April 24 (Szunyogh).

Unassigned Papers

• Papers on singular vectors

  • R. Lacarra and O. Talagrand;
    Short-range evolution of small perturbations in a barotropic model
    Tellus 40A (1988), 81-95.

  • T.N. Palmer, R. Gelaro, J. Barkmeijer and R. Buizza;
    Singular vectors, metrics and adaptive observations,
    J. Atmos. Sci. 55 (1998), 633-653.

  • F. Molteni and T.N. Palmer;
    Predictability and finite time instability of the northern winter circulation,
    Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 119 (1993), 269-298.

  • J. Barkmeijer, M. van Gijzen, and F. Boutier;
    Singular vectors and the analysis error covariance metric,
    Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 124 (1998), 1695-1713.

  • M. Ehrendorfer and J.J. Tribbia;
    Optimal prediction of forecast error covariances through singular vectors,
    J. Atmos. Sci. 54 (1997), 286-313.

• Papers on bred vectors:

  • Z. Toth and E. Kalnay;
    Ensemble forecasting at NMC: the generation of perturbations,
    Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 74 (1993), 2317-2330.

  • I. Szunyogh, E. Kalnay, and Z. Toth.
    A comparison of Lyapunov vectors and optimal vectors in a low resolution GCM,
    Tellus 49A (1997), 200-227.

  • Z. Toth and E. Kalnay;
    Ensemble Forecasting at NCEP: the breeding method,
    Monthly Weath. Rev. 125 (1997), 3297-3318.

• More papers on predictability and data assimilation:

  • Trevisan, A., and R. Legnani;
    Transient error growth and local predictability: a study in the Lorenz system,
    Tellus 47A (1995), 103-117.

  • K. Swanson, R. Vautard, and C. Pires;
    Four-dimensional assimilation and predictability in a quasi-geostrophic model,
    Tellus 50A (1998), 369-390.

  • D.P. Dee and A.M. daSilva;
    Data assimilation in the presence of forecast bias,
    Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 124 (1998), 269-295.

  • P.J. van Leeuwen;
    An ensemble smoother with error estimates,
    Monthly Weath. Rev. 129 (2001), 709-728.

  • M. Ehrendorfer;
    Predicting the uncertainty of numerical weather forecasts: a review,
    Meteorol. Zeitschrift, N.F. 6 (1997), 147-183.

  • C.E. Leith;
    Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts,
    Monthly Weath. Rev. 102 (1974), 409-418.

  • E.S. Epstein;
    Stochastic-dynamic prediction,
    Tellus 21 (1969), 739-759.

• Papers on local low dimensionality:

  • D.J.S. Patil, B.R. Hunt, E. Kalnay, J.A. Yorke, and E. Ott;
    Local Low Dimensionality of Atmospheric Dynamics,
    Phys. Rev. Lett. 86 (2001), 5878-5880.

• Papers on ocean circulation and its simulation:

  • J.R. Luyten, J. Pedlosky, and H. Stommel;
    The ventilated thermocline,
    J. Physical Oceanography 13(2) (1983), 292-309.

  • F.F. Jin, J.D. Neelin, and M. Ghil;
    El Nino / Southern Oscillation and the annual cycle: subharmonic frequency-locking and aperiodicity,
    Physica D 98 (1996), 442-465.

  • Z. Sirkes and E. Tziperman;
    Identifying a damped oscillatory thermohaline mode in a general circulation model using an adjoint model,
    J. Physical Oceanography 31(8) (2001), 2297-2306.

  • E. Tziperman;
    Inherently unstable climate behaviour due to weak thermohaline ocean circulation,
    Nature 386 (1997), 592-595.

  • J.A. Carton, X. Cao, B.S. Giese, and A.M. daSilva;
    Decadal and interannual SST variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean,
    J. Physical Oceanography 26 (1996), 1165-1175.

  • L.T. Smith, E.P. Chassignet, and R. Beck;
    The impact of lateral boundary conditions and horizontal resolution on North Atlantic water mass transformations and pathways in an isopycnic coordinate ocean model,
    J. Physical Oceanography 30(1) (2000), 137-159.

• Papers on shallow water and other models:

  • J.C. McWilliams and P.R. Gent;
    Intermediate models of planetary circulations in the atmosphere and oceans,
    J. Atmos. Sci. 37 (1980), 1657-1278.

  • J.S. Allen and P.A. Newberger;
    On intermediate models for stratified flow,
    J. Physical Oceanography 23 (1993), 2462-2486.

• Papers on radiation transport through a random medium (like a cloudy atmosphere):

  • C.D. Levermore, F. Malvagi and G.C. Pomraning;
    Asymptotic Limits of a Statistical Transport Description,
    Trans. Th. & Stat. Phys. 18 (1989), 287-311.