|
|
|
|

|
Professor Carmen M Reinhart
Department of Economics
Director, Center for International Economics
University of Maryland, College Park |
|
[ Home ]
[ Biographical Information
] [ Papers
] [ Book-Related
] [ Courses
] [ Media-Related
] [ Español ]
|
Media Related: Selected short articles by
me and with co-authors, opinion pieces, media discussion and
interviews. See also Book-related and Biographical Information
(for a more complete listing consult
Google)
|
|
VoxEU
Fiscal Stimulus for
Debt Intolerant Countries? (with Vincent R. Reinhart) In VoxEU,
August 22, 2009.
The
Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Financial Crises in
VoxEU
January 26, 2009
Is
the US Too Big to Fail?
(with Vincent R. Reinhart)
Vox
EU November 17, 2008.
From
Capital Flow Bonanza to Financial Crash (with Vincent R.
Reinhart) VoxEU
October 23, 2008.
Podcast on:
The First
Global Financial Crisis of the 21st Century
(with
Andrew Felton, eds.). (London: A VoxEU, CEPR
Publication, July 2008).
The
Next (but not new) Frontier for Sovereign Default, May 22, 2008.
Eight Hundred
Years of Financial Folly, April 19, 2008. (in French)
Telos, April 24, 2008.
Reflections on the International Dimensions and Policy Lessons of
the U.S. Subprime Crisis, March 17, 2008. (in Italian)
Lavoce.info,
April 9, 2008.
Selected recent press article citations, testimony,
interviews, and miscellaneous
2009
Profiled in:
What the Woman Lived,
Economic Principals, David Warsh, November 1, 2009
Naming the 00s, New York Times, David Segal, November
14, 2009 (Also History News network)
Interview:
High Unemployment to Continue Through 2011?, Fox Business
News, November 11, 2009.
Broader Measure of US Unemployment Stands at 17.5%,
New York Times, David
Leonardt, November 7, 2009
Dearth of borrowing, lending hobbles recovery,
Dallas Morning News, Will Deneer, November 2, 2009
Our children will lament our financial foolishness,
Idaho Statesman, Edward Lotterman, November 2, 2009
Japan Sovereign Debt Crisis Looms,
Financial Times, Edward
Chancellor, November 1, 2009
Can the economy grow without government help?
Washington Post, Neil
Irwin, October 28, 2009
Re-Branding
Capitalism, The Agenda
with Steve Paiken, TV Ontario, October 28, 2009
Trading on thin ice, The
Guardian, UK, Kevin Gallagher, October 27, 2009
Can we find a new direction?
Washington Post, review, Greg Ip, October 25, 2009
Want Recovery? History Says Be Patient. Very Patient,
,CBS
MoneyWatch with Eric Schurenberg
(video), October 22, 2009.
On Debt,
On the Banks and Recovery,
Yahoo Finance Interview, October 22,2009
,
Arkansas Business,
Arkansas Business Editors, October 16, 2009
This Time It's Different, Interview
of Reinhart and Rogoff, Tom Keene Bloomberg's On the
Economy Radio, October 15, 2009
Obama Dollar Retreats Most Against Commodities in Wealth Shift,
Bloomberg,
Brendan Murray, October 13, 2009
Eight centuries of financial folly
Gulf Times, Qatar, Kevin Hall, October
12, 2009
Myth on stock market boom: Is it
different this time?
Economic Times,
India, Sanjay Sinha, October 12, 2009
Q&A: Reinhart and
Rogoff on the Crisis, the 'Mother of All Moral Hazard'
Wall Street Journal Blog, Justin Lahart, October 12, 2009
A lack of confidence the recovery keeps many investors on the
sidelines Dallas Morning News,
Will Deneer, October 10, 2009
E se la ripresa delle Borse fosse forte come in passato?,
Il Sole 24 Ore, Italy, October 10, 2009
Boom, Bust. Repeat,
Wall Street Journal,
Review, Edward Chancellor, October 9, 2009
Next asset bubble could come sooner than you think,
The Associated Press,
Stevenson Jacobs, October 8, 2009
After subverting bank insolvency, our leaders are now about to make a
mess of liquidity, Financial Times Blog, Willem Buiter,
October 6, 2009
Recession, You Look Familiar,
New York Times, Review, Devin Leonard, October 4,
2009
Authors: US economic crisis was long time in the making,
Miami Herald, Kevin Hall, October 1, 2009
The Plot Between Ignorance and Arrogance,
New York Times,
Review, Catherine Rampell, September
30, 2009
An inconvenient truth: financial crises are inevitable,
Telegraph, UK, Edmund Conway,
September 30, 2009
Stocks get no respect from small investors,
Dallas Morning News, Will Deneer, September 30, 2009
This Time Will Never be Different,
Financial Times,
Review, Martin Wolf, September 28, 2009
"This Time Is Different": Reinhart and Rogoff worry about future
financial crises,
Business Week,
Review, Peter Coy, September 25, 2009
Leaders Face Dilemma on When to Unwind,
Wall Street Journal,
Justin Lahart, September, 24, 2009
Discussion of This Time Is Different,
CBNC News, WSJ Report with
Maria Bartiromo, September 25, 2009
This Time It's Different: Eight centuries of financial folly;
conceit and money,
FinFacts, Ireland, Review, Michael Hennigan, September 24,
2009
Lehman Brothers and the Crisis: A year on.
The Economist, September
10, 2009 (brief commentary on This Time is Different)
The Aftermath of the Recession
C-SPAN, September 4, 2009
The Bernanke Call,
Barron's -
Steven M. Sears -
Aug 26, 2009
Recovery Won't Improve Unemployment, Fortune,
Jia Lynn Yang, August 25, 2009
What Recovery Looks Like: Sane Analysis from a Fair-and-Balanced
Economist.
Esquire,
John H. Richardson -
Aug 25, 2009
The Recession Is Over--Now What?
Forbes,
August 20, 2009
The Signs Don't Point To a Typical Recovery,
Washington Post, Neil
Irwin, August 17, 2009
Medicine Is Working, But U.S. Economy Isn’t Healthy Yet
Wall Street Journal, David Wessel,
August 13, 2009
Expect a Dull Recovery if Jobs Picture Fails to Brighten
Wall Street Journal,
David Wessel, July 11,
2009
How today's global recession tracks the Great Depression
Financial Times, Martin Wolf, June 17, 2009
Government Debt: The Big Sweat,
The
Economist,
June 11, 2009
What, Me Worry? Putting Some Perspective on Panic
New York Times,
Alina Tugend, May 22, 2009.
IMF, World Bank Warn Global Downturn is Far from Over,
Malaysia Star, April 24, 2009
IMF
Offers New Tools for Global Downturn,
Washington Post, Annys Shinn, March 25, 2009
Why the
banking crisis is far from over,
(with Kenneth S. Rogoff),
Newsweek, March 21, 2009
Reinhart Says Fed Running Out of Monetary Policy Options: Audio
Why saving the world economy should be affordable,
Financial Times, Martin Wolf, March 17, 2009
Hedging may be the best strategy for oil producers,
The Calgary Herald,
Canada March 16, 2009
When jobs disappear, The
Economist, March 12, 2009
Stock Markets: When Will the Bull Return?,
BusinessWeek, David
Henry, March 5, 2009
Rule of Four, New York
Times Opinion,
February 28, 2009 (see also
Bloomberg News, March 1,
2009
Stimulating Our Way Into a Crisis,
Globe and Mail, February 18, 2009
Interview mit der US-Ökonomin Carmen M. Reinhart,
Luxemburger Wort, Luxembourg, Thomas Spang, February 17,
2009
Interview, Faule Papiere kaufen, egal zu welchem Preis“,
Berliner Zeitung, Germany,
Thomas Spang, February 17, 2009
Playing down the price tag of the fiscal stimulus
(with Vincent R. Reinhart),
Washington Post, February 10, 2009
Geithner's new bank bailout: private investors hold the key,
Chirstian Science Monitor, Mark Trumbull, February 10.
2009
Pent-up Demand Could Pull Economy out of it's Hole,
Wall Street Journal, Justin Lahart, February 6, 2009
Interview
(podcast): Lessons from 800 years of financial crises, The
Takeaway, February 4, 2009
Decline? I'll
Decline, Newsweek,
Daniel Gross, February 7, 2009
What Other Financial Crises Tell Us,
(with Kenneth Rogoff), Wall Street Journal, February 2,
2009.
Europe's Growing Crisis Puts the Fed at Risk,
Barrons, Jack Willoughby, February 1, 2009.
Rescue Efforts: Big Government Fights Back
The
Economist, January 31, 2009
Barack Obama's First Seven Days: Let the Infighting Begin!
Esquire, John H. Richardson, January 27, 2009
Myths and truths about Japan's stimulus,
Fortune, Jia Lynn Yang, January 21, 2009
We're Borrowing Like Mad. Can the US Pay It Back?,
The Washington Post,
Greg Ip, January 11, 2009.
Crisis Comparisons: How Bad Might It Get?
New York Times Blog,
Catherine Rampell, January 7, 2009.
Fed Minutes Offer No Comfort,
Forbes,
Carl Guitierrez, January 6, 2009.
Choices made in 2009 will shape the globe’s destiny,
The Financial Times, Martin Wolf, January 6, 2009.
2008
NBER Digest and
Reporter
The Forgotten
History of Domestic Debt,
NBER Digest (Cambridge: NBER, January
2009).
Capital Inflows
and Reserve Accumulation: The Recent Evidence,
NBER Digest (Cambridge: NBER,
November 2008).
Some Perspectives on Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies,
NBER Reporter (Cambridge: NBER, Summer,
2005). My
NBER
profile in that issue.
Serial Default and Capital Flows,
NBER Digest (Cambridge: NBER, August 2004).
No Gain from
Reducing G-3 Currency Volatility,
NBER Digest (Cambridge: NBER, January
2002).
The IMF and World Bank,
Finance and Development and
IMF Survey
IMF Research conference honors Guillermo Calvo, IMF
Survey, Vol. 33 No.10, May 31, 2004.
...Kaminsky and Reinhart analyzed how financial turbulence
spreads across borders...
The
Realities of Modern Hyperinflation,
(with Miguel A.
Savastano), Finance and Development, (Washington DC:
International Monetary Fund, June 2003), 20-23.
In brief: More accurate exchange rate classifications, Finance and Development
Vol. 39 No. 3., September 2002.
Is
a G-3 Target Zone on Target for Emerging Markets?
(with
Vincent R. Reinhart), Finance and Development, Vol. 39 No. 1,
(Washington DC: International Monetary Fund, March 2002), 17-19.
Interview: Reinhart examines theory and practice in addressing financial
crises, IMF Survey, Vol.30, No. 11,
June 6, 2001.
Country-specific Needs Still Dictate Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes,
IMF Survey, Vol. April 16, 2001
.. Although there is a "lot of talk" in emerging markets about
moving to floating regimes and adopting inflation targeting, in
practice, many countries have not adopted true floating-rate regimes,
according to Carmen Reinhart of the ...
Mirage of Floating
Exchange Rates. Discussion, IMF Survey,
Vol. 29, No. 2, January 24, 2000.
..
markets has suggested to many observers that countries trying to peg in
a world of mobile capital are “fighting against the wind,” Carmen
Reinhart of the ...
Capital
Flow Reversals, The Exchange Rate Debate, and Dollarization,
(with
Guillermo A. Calvo), Finance and Development, Vol. 36, No.3,
(Washington DC: International Monetary Fund, September 1999), 13-15.
Monetary and Trade Conference: Participants Debate Benefits of
Globalization, IMF Survey, Vol. 24 No. 3, Vol. 28,
No. 12, December 13, 1999.
... Economists say that each crisis is “a new breed of crisis,”
according to Carmen Reinhart, but she contended that all
crises have similar characteristics. ...
Conference on IMF Reform, IMF Survey,
Vol. 24 No. 3, Vol. 28, No. 12, June 21, 1999.
...
But as Guillermo Calvo and Carmen Reinhart noted, industrial and
developing countries part company in the developments following a
speculative attack...
... Some objected to the “short shrift” Calvo and Reinhart
gave to floating. ...
Asian crisis impact, Global Economic Prospects, Are Among Issues
Discussed by AEA Panels, IMF Survey, Vol. No.,January 25,
1999.
...as to contagion...when the crises erupted, banks pulled out not only
of those countries that encountered problems but from other markets
too...
Mundell Festschrift: Conference Focuses on Currency Crises, Prospects
for EMU, IMF Survey, Vol. 26 No. 21, November,
17, 1997.
...
In a panel discussion, Paul Krugman of the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, Carmen Reinhart of the University of Maryland, and
John Williamson of the ...
Range of Indicators May Provide Warning Systems for Currency Crises,
IMFSurvey, Vol. 26, No. 16, August 18, 1997
Managing Capital Flows
in Emerging Market Economies, IMF Survey, Vol. 24 No. 3, December 11, 1995.
Selected older press article citations, testimony,
interviews, and miscellaneous
Presentation before InterAmerican Development Bank Board of
Directors, Debt Intolerance, June 2, 2004.
Comment & Analysis: The new face of
the IMF: what could Rodrigo Rato do to reshape its role as guardian of
the global economy?,
The Financial Times, Andrew Balls, April 21, 2004.
Literary economics-a short, handy history and "promiscuous bonding"
Financial Times, John Plender, July 14, 2003.
Carmen Reinhart alerts me to another timely quote--from Max
Winkler in 1927....While a high yield on a foreign bond does not
necessarily indicate inferior quality...
Promiscuous buying, however, is destined to prove disastrous. (PS The
emerging market defaults began in earnest in 1928)
Global outlook: Countries with a "fear of floating,"
Financial Times,
Alan Beatie, January 8, 2002
Who
Under in the
World's Sea of Cash?
The New York Times, Nicholas Kristof with
Edward Wyatt, February 15, 1999.
Rating agencies warn too late and since 1979...they react after crises
instead of anticipating them.
Capital curbs should only be temporary, say economists,
The Straits
Times (Singapore), William Choong, Septemebr 6, 1998.
A Gathering Economic
Storm?
Washington Post, Robert J. Samuelson,
November 19, 1997.
"What were seeing today is the tail end of the capital flow cycle," says
economist Carmen Reinhart...
Asia Woes Revive Fears of Capital Flight: Nations, Economists Debate
Controls to Stem Outflows, The Wall Street Journal, Michael
Phillips, November 7, 1997.
(controls on capital inflows)...Carmen Reinhart says...can shift the
composition, but have not had a significant impact on the overall volume
of inflows that you get..." There
may be trouble ahead--It is not easy to predict when and where currency
crises will strike, The Financial Times, Robert Chote, August 4,
1997.
And now for a taste of the "Tom" "Yum", The Economic Times
(India), August 3, 1997.
The more stunning statistics come from a study by Kaminsky and Reinhart....in 18 of 25 bank crises, the financial system was
liberalized in the five years
preceding the crisis...The implication being that lack of regulatory
mechanism for banks was the trigger for banking crises.
¿Sintomas de crisis financiera?
El Tiempo (Colombia), June 26,
1997.
The recession following the boom in credit and consumption, the fall in
real estate prices, the overvaluation of the exchange rate,and the
overindebtedness
of most Colombians could mean trouble. Reinhart. (PS, the
summer of 1998 was the worst recession and crisis since the publication
of statistics in the early 1920s.)
The cost of the crisis reaches 3 million pesos, El Financiero, (Mexico),
October 18, 1996.
Tardara el pais 5 años para sanear su sistema financiero: Reinhart
Economic Focus: In Pursuit of thrift, does liberalising
financial markets boost saving in poor countries?
The Economist,
March 15, 1996.
Capital Inflows Surge to Latin America, Journal of Commerce and
Miami Herald, September
24, 1992.
El trabajo elaborado por el argentino Guillermo Calvo y la
cubana-norteamericana Carmen Reinhart, del Departamento de
Investigaciones del FMI...
Latin America at Risk of Capital Flight; Capital Inflows Owe to "Foreign
Factors,"
Rossana Fuentes-Berain, El Financiero (Mexico),
Septemeber 3, 1992.
Economic Diary: Consumer Debt Really Isn't So Staggering,
BusinessWeek, October 21, 1985.
Economic Diary: The Achilles' Heel in Private Credit Growth,
BusinessWeek, December 3, 1984.
On the credit boom...One possible explanation hazarded by economists
Robert M. Sinche and Carmen M. Reinhart of Bear Stearns & Co. is
that borrowers have been
undaunted by the apparently forbidding level of real rates because they
expect a pick up in inflation to erode those rates in the
not-too-distant future.
Oil Price Drop: Blue-Collar Boom,
Philadelphia Inquirer,
May 4, 1986.
The farther
down the economic ladder, the bigger the relative boost from cheaper oil
products, adds Carmen M. Reinhart of the Wall Street firm of Bear
Stearns... Most
Interest Rates Are Little Changed Despite a Flood of New Corporate
Issues, The Wall Street
Journal, Tom Herman and Edward Foldessy,
February 26, 1986. "Oil is
a symbol of inflation, and inflationary expectations are eroding
right along with oil prices, " said Carmen M. Reinhart, chief
economist of Bear, Stearns & Co. "It will take a little
time for lower oil prices to show up in the consumer price
index."
|
|
|
| |